Some thoughts on shooters from Thursday’s games:
Sorted by era
work as usual: Nothing practical
Outstanding gems: Notable personalities that deserve some extra attention
- Jeffrey Springs – Springs was a bit wobbly from the break and came off a leg injury with a 3.86 ERA and 1.61 WHIP at 9.3 IP across two starts. Enter the tigers! A quick trip to Detroit is always a great way to get back on track and Springs has done just that, coming off with a solid six innings. Allow 2 unearned runs in 4 strokes with 6 Ks and 0 BB. Springs looks like someone will keep coming back to your lineup, but the question now is how long? He threw nearly twice as many rounds as last year (79.3 against 44.7) and it’s reasonable to wonder if the Rays will let him go over the next couple of months. I wouldn’t take any precautions with Springs specifically (like cutting it off without a clear word that it will be removed or severely shortening its outings), but instead just look at stacking it as deep as possible in case it gets removed from the spin.
- Cole Rajans – The Ragans made it into the top 100 in 2017 before TJ’s sidelined him into 2021. He acclimated himself last year and then showed a lot to make him a potential Top 100 in Double- and Triple-A this year, edging out over 94.7 IP At the two levels (3.04 ERA / 1.12 WHIP / 29% K). The 24-year-old leftist only ran 4 for 3 Ks in a 5 IP to work, but only allowed an unearned run despite 7 primary runners. The downside is that he’s scheduled to make a trip to HOU next week if he sticks to the club. The wasteland of 15-team conceding wires makes the Ragans so interesting even with a tough showdown as I’ll be open to snapping him up now as a reserve as he’ll get two steps up against OAK and into the MIN in the week of August 15. Watch it at 12 seconds and is definitely shallow.
- Joseph Quintana – Q’s move to StL is one of the best upgrades a mid-level player has had on Deadline. He’s still in a strong home garden and gets a great defense to back him up as he enjoys a bounce season much like his White Sox look. All that said, he’s probably going to be sitting next week heading to COL, but I still caught him at 12s and definitely deeper, even thinking about snapping him up at 10 just to sit on him this week in preparation for v. COL/ARI the following week.
- Chris Bobick – Brady Singer It’s been getting some attention lately (and rightfully so), but Bubic has been doing some pretty good work over the past month plus that too! It has 3.24 ERA and 1.22 WHIP at 41.7 IP. It only comes in at 20% Kelvin so there wasn’t any kind of skill shift. He was a bit of a deep powerhouse in the league during this race with 4 consecutive starts of 6+ IP and over 5 IP in 6 out of 7 outings. It’s still a deep consideration in the league with a start against CWS next week with some 12-second and shallow broadcast capabilities.
fit enough: Mostly bis as usual but with some comments
- Johnny Quito – Cueto was great and useful across multiple formats with 2.91 ERA and 1.19 WHIP at 96 IP. He allowed 11 hits and only had 4 Ks in TEX, but he still went to 8 IP and only allowed 3 ER. All in all, we’ll take it! He’s been a fixture in the lineup and I’m not planning to change that next week with a trip to KC on board.
- Nick Pevita – After three consecutive failures that wiped out all the good work from May and June, Bivita is back to his fearsome personality. It has a 4.60 ERA over the last three years, but with a 1.85 WHIP at 15.7 IP. He gets ATL next week and then prepares in PIT/at BAL 2-step the week after that. I could hide it in a deeper format and wait for the second step.
- Paul Blackburn Blackburn’s startup comfort has definitely gone down with 7.94 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in its last 8 starts (39.7 IP). He still has a 14% K-BB at the time which is actually better than the 12% K-BB he had on his first 13 starts when he had a 2.26 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Four single shots hurt the angels, but I’ll pick up my shot against them early next week at home.
losers: The worst of the day fantasy-related weapons
- Joe Musgrove – It’s always hard to abandon one to the Rockies on the road, but sometimes Ryan McMahon get ya! Homer 3 times in the fifth round really ruined the outing and led in 5 out of 6 runs against Musgrove. He will be fine.
- Kyle Wright – 6 ER in NYM ERA pushed Wright to 4.13 over the last 5 hours starting with 1.25 WHIP, but the real concern is 2.5 HR/9, driven by the 4 HRs allowed on Thursday. It was still 1.7 on the other four starts, so it’s fair to wonder if there’s an emerging HR problem that could plague it in the long run. On the other hand, it went 6+ IP on each of the five starts and was the only exit via 3 ER against the very strong Mets lineup. I still trust Wright as an arm of all shapes should start.
- Jacob Jones – At least he threw you 5 Ks, but if I had to start Junis v. LAD, you know the risks and you are comfortable taking them. A trip to SD next week isn’t quite as attractive and its Team Streamer status is somewhat questionable in the 12-team and shallow leagues because it hasn’t hit a 5 IP in any of its last four starts, though the question then becomes: Who is Will you take his place?
- Noah Sendergaard – How can it be worthless if it’s a CG? (The game has been shortened to 5 IP for the ignorant). We could probably forgive 11 H and 4 ER if he had more than 2 Ks. He gets two tough moves next week at CIN and against his ex-boyfriends, The Mets. I start it.
- Janson Junk – I mean, it’s in the name!
Heading into the weekend, I’ll give some names to consider at FAAB for the weekend. I’ll try to give a name or two to several league sizes:
- Cal Rally | SEA, C (14% Y!, 4% ESPN) – Results are finally starting to dip a bit for Raleigh and have quietly made him one of the best maskers of the past two months or so. He only hit the .136 during May with a .143 BABIP binocular that killed him on a 74 PA. While it won’t be confused with the average hitter stud even at its best, it is better than the .136! And we’ve seen it shine since June as his streak jumped to 0.232/.301/.512 with 11 hours at 183 PA (35 paces for the full season). With a heavy volleyball propensity (55%) and a lot of swing and miss (30%), the AVG will always be at risk, so make sure you are comfortable buying a power-only profile. He is ranked 15th C so far and has been in the top 5 since June 1st with his best 11 HRs in MLB (he & will Smith They are the only Cs to have 10+ HR since June 1st).
- Seth Brown | OAK, 1B/OF (22% Y!, 15% ESPN) – Brown appears to be very widely available for shallow formats. He was 37th in the season, but he also has a 1B/CI eligibility, so even in the 3-team leagues there should be a place for him in the Somebody The 29-year-old left-handed hitter has hit 16 HR and blasted 8 SBs at 345 PA so far. .236 AVG definitely not amazing, although in this low-end AVG environment, it’s good enough given the rest of the production. While the OAK’s attack is horrific, size still has value and Brown is a staple in a cleaning role!
- Felix the Baptist | BAL, RP (46% OC, 13% ESPN, 0% Y!) – This is a new close-up game record. I think Bautista takes over the role with Jorge Lopez It is traded and can be good. Bautista has been a force in the setup role with an average of 36% K at 44.7 IP helping his 1.81 ERA / 0.87 WHIP combo. He has an 8% BB and 1.2 HR/9, but that’s not alarming, and these factors shouldn’t prevent him from succeeding in the role of shutter.
- JB Sears | OAK, SP (2% ME, 0% elsewhere) – The A’s haven’t needed a fifth start since acquiring the Sears from the Yankees in a Montas deal, but he should Be up next week and have a chance to survive the rest of the season. The dearth of condescending talents in the deeper formats I mentioned earlier is just another reason for my interest in Sears. He was excellent at 22 IP with NYY (2.05 ERA / 0.86 WHIP) and although he only had an average of 18%, he showed so much swing and miss throughout his minor league career that I believe his slider is going to start losing him on the bat and restore his K to the low-to-mid 20% s range. He’s scheduled to face the LAA next week and the scheduling is set for TEX/v. SEA in two steps the following week.
- Teren Favra | BAL, 2B/UT (0% Y!, ESPN, OC, ME) – O probability was the twelfth in their institution. Before his promotion he had been a powerful side platoon man since his arrival. His first game was in DH which got him into UT only for NFBC formats while most ports use the 2B/SS label obtained in minors. It’s a gadget driven profile with some potential speed thrown in, so if you’re loaded with energy but struggling with AVG, it could be your man.
OC = NFBC Online Championship (12 tms)
ME = NFBC Main Event (15 tms)
DRAFTKINGS . GAME
- Haven’t done any DK for a while, but we’ll definitely be making them back again next week!